The Stupid Punt section of the Blog is all about highlighting some of those loopy-looking bets at monster odds. All that’s required to make them click is a little bit of brains, a little bit of balls and a massive dollop of luck. If you never have a dream, how will you ever have a dream come true? And here on the Paddy Power Blog we’re all dreamers.
There’s a place in the Punting Hall of Fame at stake if you can pull it off. You are the people who make the crazy look inspired and while you have the bravery to toe the line between ridiculous and optimistic, we can only stand back and applaud.
Here are three of the most outrageous bets we’ve dug out of Paddy’s Premier League book this week and a few stats to try to back them up.
Correct score: Everton to beat Manchester City 5-0
One punter has £5 on at 500/1
- In 175 matches between Everton and Man City, it has only ever ended 5-0 once before. That result went City’s way in December 2000 with goals from Paulo Wanchope, Steve Howey, Shaun Goater, Paul Dickov and a Gary Naysmith own goal
- Everton’s biggest previous win over Manchester City was a 9-1 hammering at home in September 1906
- The Toffees have lost just three of their 17 home games against Man City in the Premier League era and have won four of the last five games at Goodison Park against the Citizens.
Everton might be staring their fifth straight league defeat in the face, but one punter is expecting everything to suddenly click for Roberto Martinez at home to title-challengers City. An Everton win considering their recent form may be considered hopeful, a 5-0 thumping simply ridiculous.
- Mersey Paradise: Everton’s home record against City should fill you with confidence
- Neville Southall: Consider selling Ross Barkley and get the £50m Everton need
Scorecast: Peter Crouch to score first and Stoke to beat Arsenal 4-2
One punter is on at 1750/1
- Peter Crouch has had 33 attempts on goal in the league this season and scored four times, giving him a conversion rate of 12 per cent
- Stoke have never beaten Arsenal 4-2 in 100 previous games between these two sides. The Potters did win 4-1 against the Gooners though in December 1964
- The last English side to score exactly four goals against Arsenal was Blackburn Rovers. They beat Arsenal 4-3 in a league match in 2011 when own goals from Laurent Koscielny and Alex Song added to a Yakubu brace
Stoke may have the upper hand against Arsenal at the Britannia, but they have lost the last 12 away games on the spin against the Gunners. One dreamer is expecting that to change dramatically this weekend, and is hoping Peter Crouch can start the thumping.
- Heads Up! Get your nut around this 9/2 enhanced special in Arsenal’s game with Stoke
- Kick January’s ass with this 74/1 goalscorer double
Scorecast: Daryl Janmaat to score first and Newcastle to beat Chelsea 5-3
One punter is on at 4000/1
- This fixture has never ended 5-3 in its history, however the closest Newcastle came to this scoreline was a 5-1 victory in August 1967
- Janmaat has one goal to his name this season, at home to Crystal Palace in the 3-3 draw in August. The Dutch defender has a shot accuracy of 31 per cent and a conversion rate of six per cent this campaign
- In his 715-game managerial career Jose Mourinho has conceded five goals just twice before – in a 5-0 thrashing by Barcelona while he was at Madrid in 2010 and on New Year’s Day away to Tottenham
The Special One doesn’t concede five goals too regularly so expecting a second 5-3 defeat on the spin the league is optimistic. Even more so when you consider that this punter is expecting Janmaat to start the route, despite the Dutch defender failing to hit the target with 69 per cent of his efforts.
- Jose Mourinho: He’s not a Moriarty, he’s a very sulky boy
- Christmas came early if you backed Chelsea for the Premier League – because we paid out!
- Book your seat in the Punting Hall of Fame by clicking a monster punt here: Desktop | Mobile
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- Arsenal v Stoke: Keep ahead of the trends with this surprising 9/2 value punt
- Mersey Paradise: Everton are in turmoil, but their home record against Manchester City can boost your confidence
- Neville Southall: I’d consider selling Ross Barkley to get the £50m Everton need to be a regular Champions League side
- New Year New You: We’ve got a 74/1 double courtesy of two players who hit their peak in January