We’ve made a profit over the last few weekends so hopefully Paddy’s miserable.
I’m sticking to the tough races this Saturday, so let’s start with the Grade 2 hurdle at Ascot (2.25pm).
Stamina will be very much needed in what are sure to be testing conditions and the one I like is LYVIUS.
He was a big price at Haydock last time but was far from disgraced when fifth having been bumped at the last. He stays 2m4f and goes in soft and is quite capable off a mark of 139.
Race to Savour
CARRAIG MOR is just a novice but stays really strong and will probably pop off in front for Haydock’s 2m 5f Graduation Chase (2.40pm)
If his jumping holds up he could be hard to catch for Alan King as he stays three miles which is probably a must in the heavy ground – and I like novices in these contests.
All eyes will be on SPRINTER SACRE (3pm) if he turns up for the gig at Ascot. At his best Nicky Henderson’s charge is a good thing, but we all know he’s had a serious heart problem. He has to be the selection, but in many ways this is a race to watch.
Slog in a Bog
The Peter Marsh Chase at Haydock (3.15pm) over 3m 1f will be a slog but TOBY LERONE ran a cracker behind Broadway Buffalo last time but can turn the tables after David Pipe’s runner disappointed at Warwick after that.
Toby Lerone is more consistent and is 7lb better off for a four-length beating so hopefully he has every chance and relish conditions.
Finally Ascot’s extended 2m 5f Handicap Chase (3.35) and I suspect this is where Niceonefrankie’s winning run comes to an end.
I like BALLINVARRIG who gets 3m well and acts in testing ground. A mark of 133 is high enough for Tom George’s hope, but fingers crossed he is improving.
It’s going to be hard in what will be tough racing conditions – but a winner or two will hit Paddy hard at the prices. Yeeehaaa!