Diego Costa and Sergio Aguero have been setting the Premier League alight this season, and leaving opposition defenders in cold sweats for days. While Costa may be the aggressive, bullying, wind-up merchant Jose Mourinho has craved at Chelsea, Sergio Aguero is the deadly finisher who has already secured Manchester City two Premier League. Their style of play may be world’s apart, but the results are still the same.
Combined they have a staggering 31 goals this season – that’s more than 12 Premier League sides have managed this campaign – but who has the edge?
[Handy hint: Click or tap on the infographic to make it bigger]
As our piece of design-wizardry would suggest, Diego Costa has the superior goal tally and is more efficient than Sergio Aguero. His shot accuracy is a staggering 72 per cent, which means that for every four shots he takes in the league, three of them are testing the opposition goalkeeper. To put that into context, no player in the top flight who has 25 shots or more has posted a better shot accuracy this season.
Costa’s conversion rate is also far and away more impressive than Aguero’s. While Sergio averages just short a goal every five shots, Costa averages better than a goal every four shots, making him by far the most dangerous finisher in the top flight. Although you won’t find the Chelsea striker picking his spot from the outside of the area, he is a touch more unpredictable than his Manchester City counterpart. While 71 per cent of Aguero’s goals come from his right boot, Costa mixes it up a touch more with five goals from his weaker left foot and two headers to add to his haul.
But you’d be crazier than a bag of raccoons to let that put you off backing Aguero this weekend. The Manchester City player is starting to come back to full fitness and actually posts a better goals per minute ratio than Diego Costa – finding the net every 83 minutes this season, to Costa’s average of a goal every 94 minutes. Sergio Aguero has two goals in his last six Premier League games against Chelsea and found the net in this fixture last season.
It’s also worth noting that Aguero has two penalties in his goal tally, and with Yaya Toure away on International duty, he’ll be taking them from the spot again on Saturday. Aguero is fairly reliable from 12 yards, scoring seven of his nine Premier League penalties for Manchester City. That may make you tempted to side with him over Costa – because Eden Hazard takes them for Chelsea – but heed the following warning: Chelsea have conceded just one penalty at home in the league since February 5 2012.
The boffins who crunch the data in Power Tower have had their say as well and both players have been profitable to back this year, with Costa just edging the figures.
- Costa has opened the scoring in six league games this season. If you had stuck £5 on him to score first in every game this season you would be £38.50 in profit
- Sergio Aguero has opened the scoring just four times this campaign – and you’d have £17.50 in profit if you had stuck £5 on him to score first every week this season.
If Costa can avoid a ban for introducing his studs to Emre Can he can be backed to score first at 4/1, with Sergio Aguero 5/1 in the betting. Although if you fancy Aguero to open the scoring for City on Saturday don’t waste anytime in backing him, because if Costa’s ban gets upheld and he misses the battle at the Bridge, you can expect that price to shorten a touch.
Who has the edge, and which would you prefer in your side? Get involved in the discussion below or @paddypower on the Twitter machine.
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