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Here is proof that backing Alan Pardew is profitable, and how a 13/1 punt can win Crystal Palace another three points against Everton

Pep Puardiola has the Midas touch, and has four wins from four games at Palace. We've crunched the stats to show that even if the Eagles go behind, you should keep the faith in the gaffer.

by Josh Powell | January 29, 2015

Gordon Bombay in The Mighty Ducks. Tony D’Amato of the Miami Sharks in Any Given Sunday. Alan Pardew, Manager of the Year 2011/12 and current boss of Crystal Palace. Three men with an extraordinary talent of motivating their players to overcome adversity.

Or so the stats suggest…

Rather than the ‘Flying V’, Pardew simply moulds his 4-4-2 around Dwight Gayle, but since joining Palace at the start of the year, he has a 100 per cent record, with two cup wins and two league wins. What is even more impressive is that three of these wins have come, despite his side going behind.

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  • Pep Puardiola at it again? The latest odds on Crystal Palace are just a click away: Desktop | Mobile

But this is nothing new to Pardew. In fact no other manager in the Premier League has won as many points this season from losing positions. Combining his time at Newcastle and at Palace, Pardew has won 16 points from losing positions this campaign, coming from behind to beat Burnley, Everton and Tottenham (twice), as well as draw with Palace, Hull, Swansea and Burnley (again!).

If you believe that a key element of being a great manager is getting the most out of your players when they are up against it, then Pardew is your man. Of course if a key element of being a great manager is not going behind in the first place then he probably isn’t. But still, let’s look at these stats with a pint of positivity followed by an optimism chaser.

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Our Power Tower number-crunchers have been looking into the Pep Puardiola phenomenon and, incredibly, he is a profitable manager to follow as long as you’re willing to keep the faith.

  • If you were loyal (or insane) enough to back Pardew’s Newcastle to win every week in the Premier League this season you would have made a 14 per cent profit by the time he left.
  • Although Newcastle have lost their two league games since, Pardew has taken his profit-making form to Palace, and if you’d stuck £10 on them to beat Burnley and £10 on them to beat Spurs, you’d have £61 in profit in your bank account. That’s a 210 per cent return in just two weeks – the kind of figure that would make Wonga’s eyes water.
  • Since Pardew took over, Palace have become the third most popular team in the Premier League to cash out on. Punters are taking the cash out offer, but the results suggest it would be more profitable to keep the faith and believe in Pardew.

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Crystal Palace are 17/10 to beat Everton at home on Saturday, with Roberto Martinez’s side in woeful form. The Toffees are winless in eight games in all competitions, although they have scored first in 50 per cent of their league games this campaign. That makes the 13/1 on Palace to come from behind and win yet again, more than a little tempting, with the Eagles 6/1 to come from behind and draw.

Pardew would appear to be in possession of the Midas touch, and while that’s on his side and he isn’t head-butting anyone on the touchline, it might be worth taking a gamble. He’s a Manager of the Year winner don’t forget…

  • Will it be another good weekend for Puardiola? All the latest odds are here: Desktop | Mobile

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