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Everton’s Millennium Bug: Get involved in this 28/1 shot as the Toffees keep coming unstuck against Liverpool

It's been a tough 15 years for Everton fans watching their team struggle at home against their local rivals. Our stat-crunching infographic reveals just how bad their record is, and how your punting can capitalise...

by Josh Powell | February 5, 2015

The world before the year 2000 was a happy place. Nobody had ever heard of Justin Bieber or Kim Kardashian. You only had to charge your phone once a week – twice if you ultra-determined to beat your latest score on snake. A Freddo was 10p and the pick ‘n’ mix section of Woolworths made going into town on Saturday morning an absolute delight.

If you were an Everton fan heading into the Millennium you’d also never had to taste a Premier League Merseyside derby defeat on home soil. How things change…

[Handy hint: Click or tap on the image to make it larger]

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A thank you to Maria Grogan in PP Design for this old school infographic

Before the Millenium Bug threatened to destroy the world, Everton’s Merseyside derby record in the Premier League at Goodison Park was as reliable as . In seven games they had four wins and three draws, keeping four clean sheets along the way. While Craig David and Billie Piper soared up the charts, Duncan Ferguson and Andrie Kanchelskis were tearing Liverpool apart as the Toffees enjoyed a fantastic run of games at home against their local rivals.

But things would turn for the worst after the year 2000. And since then Everton have won just three of the 15 Merseyside derbies in the Premier League at Goodison, losing a massive 60 per cent of them. We’d hate to lay the blame at David Moyes’ door, but the gaffer won just three of 11 home league derbies in his 11 year spell in charge of the Toffees – hardly the kind of endorsement that would then get you one of the biggest managerial jobs in the world. Or so you’d think.

Although Roberto Martinez’s overall record is hardly going to fill Everton fans with confidence either. At Everton he has two draws and a 4-0 defeat against Liverpool, and when you include the Spaniard’s spells at Swansea and Wigan, he has just an 18 per cent win rate.

  • Can Everton shift their Millennium bug? All the latest odds are here: Desktop | Mobile

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Going in to this weekend’s match, and Everton have just one win in their last nine games in all competitions. In comparison, Liverpool have lost just one of the last 12. The difference in form is more blatantly obvious than Katie Hopkin’s quest for yet more publicity. All things considered it is no surprise that the trader’s have priced the Reds up as 5/4 favourites.

The number crunchers in Power Tower have been busting the stats again, to pick out some key punting pointers before the derby.

  • If you were crazy/loyal enough to back Everton every week in the Premier League you would be losing 47 per cent. The only team in the Premier League whose profit and loss is worse, is QPR
  • Paddy Power have paid out seven times more in bonuses on Liverpool than Everton, courtesy of our Acca Bonus – so the Reds would appear a banker for your multiples this weekend
  • Raheem Sterling got Liverpool’s equaliser against Bolton in the Fa Cup, and has three goals in the last five games in all competitions. In the league this year, Sterling has scored five goals, with four of them being the first of the game. If you’d backed Sterling to score first every week this season you would be up 25 per cent

Acca Bonus

With that in mind, Sterling to score first at 6/1 offers plenty of appeal, as does Sterling to score the only goal in a 1-0 Liverpool win which is a tasty 28/1. Liverpool have 12 wins to their name this season and 25 per cent of them have been 1-0 victories. Four of their last five away victories have also been by the one goal margin, so we’re happy to take a gamble on the 28/1 scorecast.

Just don’t tell Big Neville Southall…

  • Get stuck into the latest Merseyside derby betting here: Desktop | Mobile

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