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Everton to win 5-0 against Liverpool and Arsenal to lose the North London derby 5-2? Here are your craziest bets of the week

It's derby weekend and punters have gone particularly outrageous with some of their bets. We dip into Paddy Power's book to pluck out the most ridiculous gambles...

by Josh Powell | February 6, 2015

The Stupid Punt section of the Blog is all about highlighting some of those loopy-looking bets at monster odds. All that’s required to make them click is a little bit of brains, a little bit of balls and a massive dollop of luck. If you never have a dream, how will you ever have a dream come true? And here on the Paddy Power Blog we’re all dreamers.

There’s a place in the Punting Hall of Fame at stake if you can pull it off. You are the people who make the crazy look inspired and while you have the bravery to toe the line between ridiculous and optimistic, we can only stand back and applaud.

Here are three of the most outrageous bets we’ve dug out of Paddy’s Premier League book this week and a few stats to try to back them up.

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Correct score: Aston Villa 3-0 Chelsea
Five punters are on at 400/1

  • It has been four-and-a-half years since Aston Villa won a league game 3-0. That was in August 2010 when West Ham lost 3-0 at Villa Park, with Stewart Downing, Stilian Petrov and James Milner all on the scoresheet
  • Not one team in the five tiers of English football is as wasteful in front of goal as Aston Villa. Paul Lambert’s side have attempted 230 shots, but scored just 11 times, giving them a measly conversion rate of 4.78 per cent
  • The last time Jose Mourinho lost a game 3-0 was all the way back in March 2009. Sampdoria beat Inter Milan in a Coppa Italia game six years ago

The Special One does not lose games 3-0 very often, and Aston Villa are hardly prolific this season. That is the cocktail for a simply outrageous bet from several punters this weekend who are expecting the Villians to thump the league-leaders. Mourinho (below) pretty much sums up our thoughts…

Jose Mourinho

Scorecast: Harry Kane to score first and Tottenham to beat Arsenal 5-2
One punter is on at 900/1

  • The Gunners may have two 5-2 wins over Spurs, but Tottenham have never been able to return the favour. The closest they have come was in 1961 when they won 4-2 at home courtesy of goals from Bobby Smith, Danny Blanchflower, and a brace from Les Allen
  • Tottenham have won two home games 5-2 in the Premier League – once in 2003 when they beat Wolves, and again on New Year’s Day 2005 when they beat Everton thanks to strikes from Reto Ziegler, Pedro Mendes and Robbie Keane, in between two from Dean Marney
  • Harry Kane is the main man at Spurs currently, but he doesn’t have the best conversion rate at Tottenham. Incredibly Eric Dier tops that list with two goals from just six shots, with Nacer Chadli in second with seven goals from 36 shots. Kane has a conversion rate of 18.9 per cent, burying 10 goals from 53 shots

One Tottenham fan is keen to gain some revenge over Arsenal after some recent humiliations, and dishing out a 5-2 victory is just the ticket. Harry Kane is the main man in the top flight currently and has a spot in the England set-up in his sights. He’ll almost certainly be getting this punter’s vote if he can kick-start this rout.

Arsene Wenger

Scorecast: Romelu Lukaku to score first and Everton to beat Liverpool 5-0
One punter is on at 1750/1

  • Everton have beaten Liverpool 5-0 twice before in the league. Unfortunately the first time was back in 1909 and the second time was 1914 – more than a century ago.
  • The Toffees have won three Premier League games 5-0 at Goodison Park– against Middlebrough and Sunderland in 1999, and then against West Ham in 2001. In the most recent 5-0 victory against West Ham, the goals came from Kevin Campbell, Thomas Graveson, Steve Watson, Tomasz Radzinski and an OG from Dun Hutchison.
  • Lukaku has seven goals for Everton this term – from 65 shots. This gives him a conversion rate of 11 per cent and makes him the 100th most deadly player in the league, based on all the players who have taken at least five shots this campaign.

Everton’s record at home to Liverpool in the league in recent years is hardly spectacular – they’ve lost 60 per cent since the turn of the Millennium – but one punter is attempting to buck that trend in a huge way. It’s been more than 100 years since the Toffees beat the Reds 5-0 in the league, but this punter’s blood must run blue, because he fancies it to happen again.

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