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Premier League Darts week three: Wade in on The Machine and our 10/1 value punt

The Premier League Darts is off to Merseyside, and we're aiming to continue our run of tipping form with three cheeky punts

by Josh Powell | February 18, 2015

Premier League Week One Tipping Results
Dave Chisnall over 3.5 180s – 10/11 (Lost)
Michael van Gerwen to beat Kim Huybrechts, hit the most 180s, and the highest checkout – 9/4 (Won)
Gary Anderson to beat Phil Taylor – 11/8 (Won)
Premier League Week Two Tipping Results
Michael van Gerwen (-3.5 legs) to beat Steven Bunting – 7/4 (Won)
Adrian Lewis to beat Phil Taylor: Draw no bet – Evens (Lost)

Profit/Loss to a level £1 stake: +3.38

An electrifying 138 check-out from Michael van Gerwen last week clicked our handicap bet to keep us in some healthy profit, despite Phil Taylor tearing up the form book by dishing out a hammering to the in-form tungsten tosser Adrian Lewis. The Premier League bandwagon is on its way to Liverpool this weekend, so The Power might have to brace himself for the storm as he takes on local hero Steven ‘The Bullet’ Bunting. Elsewhere, reigning champ Gary Anderson takes on the best player on the planet right now, MVG, in a mouth-watering contest that should have every womble, smurf and bowling pin on their feet in the Echo Arena.

  • Get stuck into all the latest Premier League Darts odds for Thursday here: Desktop | Mobile

James Wade v Dave Chisnall

The night kicks off with two players who are unbeaten in the competition this year. James Wade takes on Dave Chisnall, and at 11/10 The Machine looks too good a price to ignore. After a hard-fought opening night draw with Steven Bunting, James Wade was at his clinical best when he picked Kim Huybrechts apart in a 7-2 win last week, and the world number six can make it a third undefeated week on the spin against Chizzy Rascal.

Premier-League-Darts-James-Wade

Don’t let Chisnall’s two wins from two influence you too much. Admittedly he has played some good stuff, but in week one he came up against Peter Wright who is hopelessly out of form, and then seven days ago he scraped past an out-of-sorts Raymond van Barneveld. Chisnall also has the lowest average (92.85) of all 10 players, despite being second in the table. James Wade has the throw in this contest which immediately gives him the advantage and considering his recent form, we’re expecting him to pull away from Chizzy.

Notably it is Wade’s doubles which could be the difference here. He had a 46 per cent checkout rate against Bunting and a 70 per cent checkout rate against Huybrechts, compared to Chisnall’s 41 per cent in week one and 27 per cent in week two. Wade’s finishing is also far superior, with a 143 finish last week against Kim Huybrechts and three more 100+ check-outs in the German Masters over the weekend. Chisnall’s biggest Premier League finish this year was a 101 against RVB.

Premier-League-Darts-James-Wade

Bearing that in mind, it might just be worth a nibble on The Machine to complete ‘the hat-trick’ as well at 10/1. He has the edge when it comes to big check-outs and we fancy him to win the match, so the only component missing is the number of 180s. Wade is far from a particularly heavy scorer, while Chisnall has a reputation of destroying the treble 20 bed. However Chisnall hasn’t been hitting as many maximums this campaign, with just three from 20 legs he’s played.Wade has hit just two in 21 legs, but chipped in with three in his second round game of the German Masters at the weekend. The 180 count could be quite close, and that makes the 10/1 look like a decent value bet.

  • Advised bet: James Wade to beat Dave Chisnall at 11/10 – Desktop | Mobile
  • Advised bet: James Wade to win the match, have the highest checkout, and the most 180s at 10/1 – Desktop | Mobile

Michael van Gerwen v Gary Anderson

Gary Anderson is the reigning World Champion. He has two wins from two this Premier League season, beating Phil Taylor and hammering Peter Wright. Last time he met Michael van Gerwen on TV he beat him 6-3 in sets on the biggest stage of them all at the Alexandra Palace. Yet knowing all this we are still tipping up Michael van Gerwen, and not just that, but tipping up MVG with a -2.5 handicap.

681x94_premier_league_acca

Why? Simply because you cannot argue with these statistics…

  • Since losing in the World Championships Michael van Gerwen has played 31 matches and won 30 of them
  • In February alone he has won the Masters, the German Masters and two UK Open Qualifying tournaments, pocketing £110k in just over a fortnight
  • Over his two Premier League games MVG has averaged a staggering 108.58
  • He also has six 180s and a checkout success rate of 56 per cent
  • On Sunday Van Gerwen beat Anderson 6-2 in the German Masters Final, averaging a ridiculous 117.94. MVG took out 167 and 151, hit four 180s, and knocked in three legs under 12 darts. After being level at 2-2, the Dutchman didn’t give Anderson a shot at a double for the last four legs

Michael-van-Gerwen-header

Van Gerwen is determined to win his World Championship back and he will destroy everything in his path to get it. The standard of darts he is throwing this year is nothing short of amazing and he has the extra incentive of exacting some revenge on the man who knocked him out of the World Championships. At the prices, backing MVG -2.5 on the handicap appears to be the value bet, meaning Van Gerwen just needs to hold his throw and break at least once in the first 10 legs.

Gary Anderson said it himself as he walked off the German Masters stage, ‘To get to the final is an achievement in itself because the standard is so high nowadays. ‘Michael deserved to win, and from two-all in the final he upped a gear.’

If MVG can continue his astonishing 2015 form, then not even the reigning World Champ is going to be able to come close to stopping him.

  • Advised bet: Michael van Gerwen (-2.5) to beat Gary Anderson at 11/8 – Desktop | Mobile

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