Long gone are the days when it used to be the Worthless Cup and just a chance to blood in a few young lads, but now it seems to have grown a tad in stature. 4.00pm will see two London clubs take to the stage – Chelsea, the home of my future wife Lucy Watson, and Spurs who are the other half of the North London derby.
Hang on a second there, just putting on my anorak… Right! Sunday sees a repeat of the 2008 final between the two clubs when Spurs won 2-1 thanks to a Woodgate goal in extra time. 2008 was the first year that a final was played in the new Wembley stadium, and only four players remain from that game, all of whom are from Chelsea – Cech, Terry, Mikel and Drogba.
Lately though, Spurs and Chelsea games have been absolute goal fests with 11 goals in the last two games alone, but these cup final stats show that we may not be in for such a high scoring game…
[Handy hint: If you’re having to squint, just click or tap the image to make it bigger]
The stats tell us that we should expect both teams to score with 58.3% of games ending with both teams finding the back of the net. Nearly half of all goals scored have been in the second half, 62 goals knocked in after 45 minutes.
The League Cup is not a come-from-behind affair with only 33% of teams managing to overturn a deficit. 64.6% of teams who score first end up winning and, time to rejoice, only 2.1% of games end scoreless.
Chelsea sit top of the league, but have only won two of their last eight games in all competitions. Tottenham on the other hand, well they have Harry Kane. ‘Nuff said. The Hurri-Kane has six goals in his last five games, 14 goals in the league and a further three goals in the League Cup. I haven’t even mentioned his European goals!
Spurs have only won three of their last eight games, but do have the upper hand over Chelsea in 2015. On the first of January this year, Pochettino drove the bus and took Mourinho‘s team to school in a thriller that finished 5-3 to the North London side.
Chelsea will arrive in Wembley as slight favourites at 7/10, while Spurs are 15/4 to repeat 2008 and take home the trophy. With the 27% of these cup finals ending in 2-1, I might put my money on that scoreline.
Chelsea to win 2-1 is 15/2 but with Spurs having won the last match up between the two so convincingly: Harry Kane to score first and Spurs to win 2-1 is a tasty 60/1 which should leave you being able to say on Monday at lunchtime “Yes sir I realise that guacamole is extra, but I shall be having it”.
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