The Stupid Punt section of the Blog is all about highlighting some of those loopy-looking bets at monster odds. All that’s required to make them click is a little bit of brains, a little bit of balls and a massive dollop of luck. If you never have a dream, how will you ever have a dream come true? And here on the Paddy Power Blog we’re all dreamers.
There’s a place in the Punting Hall of Fame at stake if you can pull it off. You are the people who make the crazy look inspired and while you have the bravery to toe the line between ridiculous and optimistic, we can only stand back and applaud.
Here are three of the most outrageous bets we’ve dug out of Paddy’s Premier League book this week and a few stats to try to back them up.
Scorecast: Romelu Lukaku to score first and Everton to beat Arsenal 3-0
One punter is on at 450/1
- Everton have beaten Arsenal 3-0 on a hat-trick of occasions, although never away from home. The Toffees picked up 3-0 wins against the Gunners in March 1913, October 1989, and last April when goals from Steven Naismith, Romelu Lukaku and a Mikel Arteta OG did the damage
- Romelu Lukaku has seven Premier League goals this term, but does have a decent record against the Gunners with two goals in three games against them for the Toffees
- Everton’s away record at Arsenal is nothing short of dreadful. The Toffees have won just one of the last 30 matches away at the Gunners in all competitions, and that was all the way back in January 1996 when Graham Stuart cancelled out Ian Wright’s opener, before Andrei Kanchelskis bagged the winner in the 84th minute
Roberto Martinez’s men have won just two of their last 14 games on the road in the Premier League and domestically are in some desperate form. But that hasn’t put one punter off this Stupid Punt which goes against pretty much every trend in the history book. Let’s hope he’s wearing more than his Lucky Pants this weekend, because the Toffees will need every bit of good fortune they can get.
Scorecast: Harry Kane to score first and Tottenham to beat Chelsea 4-1 in the League Cup Final
One punter is on at 500/1
- Tottenham have beaten Chelsea 4-1 twice before – once in 1929, and then again, slightly more recently in 1985 at White Hart Lane with a team that featured a tasty midfield of Chris Waddle, Glenn Hoddle, and Ossie Ardiles
- Since 1961 only one League Cup Final has ended 4-1 in 90 minutes. That was in 1966 when the League Cup was played over two legs. West Brom beat West Ham 4-1 at The Hawthorns to seal the victory 5-3 on aggregate
- Harry Kane has now got 12 goals in his last 11 league games, dating back to December 13. The Hurri-Kane has converted 37.5 per cent of his shots in that time and has become one of the league’s most deadly finishers in front of goal.
One Spurs fan is going into Sunday’s League Cup final on a wave of optimism this punt would suggest. Not content with just winning the cup, this punter obviously fancies Tottenham to dish out yet another hammering to Jose Mourinho after the 5-3 game two months ago. Harry Kane is likely to cause JT and co. plenty of problems again, but to the tune of 4-1?
Scorecast: Daniel Sturridge to score first and Liverpool to beat Manchester City 6-1
One punter is on at 1500/1
- Liverpool have never beaten Manchester City 6-1, however the Reds did pick up a 6-0 victory at Anfield in October 1995. Ian Rush and Robbie Fowler both bagged a couple each, with Jamie Redknapp and Neil ‘Razor’ Ruddock chipping in with scores as well
- The Reds have only ever won one Premier League game 6-1 at Anfield. That was in September 2009 and Hull City were the team to get hammered on Merseyside. Fernando Torres scored a 47 minute hat-trick before Steven Gerrard made it four, and Ryan Babel added two more in the last two minutes to put some gloss on the scoreboard
- Daniel Sturridge has posted a shot accuracy of 56 per cent since his return, hitting five of his nine shots on target and scoring once in Liverpool’s 2-0 win over West Ham
That thin line you have just crossed? That’s the line between optimistic and simply ridiculous. Liverpool have lost just one of their 17 home Premier League games against Man City, and yes, one of those wins was a 6-0 thumping. But a lot has changed since 1995, and expecting a similar thrashing is simply beyond belief.
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- 3,676 pints of lager, 664 hours of porn, and a 150/1 shot when Everton face Arsenal at the Emirates
- Liverpool v Manchester City: Shiver me timbers and take a punt on the Reds at 7/2
- Capital Returns: Chelsea tackle Spurs in the Capital One Cup Final on Sunday and we’ve got all the statistics you need