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Swansea v Everton: Find out the 66/1 shot that could add to Bobby’s Blues on Saturday afternoon

Roberto Martinez takes Everton to face his former side Swansea on Saturday, and the in-form Welsh team have the Ki to unlock the Toffees defence

by Josh Powell | April 8, 2015

Roberto Martinez certainly hasn’t had the best of seasons. The Toffees are currently sat closer to the bottom of the table than they are to seventh, and although relegation isn’t a concern, it’s understandable that Everton fans have been getting a little twitchy. Three wins on the spin for the Toffees have done enough to temporarily silence the ‘Martinez Out’ chants, however Roberto would be advised to bring his earplugs to the Liberty Stadium on Saturday as the home crowd are unlikely to welcome his return.

Martinez’s former club Swansea sit four places and nine points ahead of Everton going into Sunday’s clash, and a comparison of the manager’s time at both clubs emphasise how he’s gone backwards quicker than David Cameron on a promise.

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  • Will the Toffees come unstuck against Swansea? Get the latest odds here: Desktop | Mobile

As the image shows, the key stats are clear – Martinez won more games, lost fewer games and conceded less while he was at the helm in Swansea. And although avid Martinez-backers in Everton blue will argue that he was managing at a lower level, it is important to remember that Martinez got Swansea promoted to the Championship for the first time in 24 years, and then as a newly promoted side in their first season, missed out on a play-off place by a single point.

At Everton he has had far more to work with, but failed to deliver. He spent a shrewd total of £680k at Swansea – yet at Everton spent more than three times that on Aiden McGeady alone. A winger with just one goal in 41 appearances for the Toffees. In total, Martinez has spent £61.5m at Everton but has been unable to replicate the success he has with Swansea, which ultimately has led to the Welsh side sitting comfortably in the top half of the Premier League while Everton crumble.

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In Saturday’s game there is only really one team who look value for a punt. Everton have lost seven and drawn one of their eight away games to top half sides this season, while at home to bottom half teams, Swansea have won six and drawn three. The Swans are 6/4 favourites, and the number crunchers in Power Tower have plenty of evidence to suggest punters should be onside.

  • Swansea are the second most profitable team to back in the Premier League. A £10 bet on them to win in each and every game would currently see you with a profit of £95.60 in your back pocket.
  • Everton are the polar opposite however, sitting in 17th place in the probability table. The same tenner bet on the Toffees to win every week would see you down £115.90 for the season.
  • Swansea’s most profitable scoreline has been the good old-fashioned 1-0 win, clicking six times to give punters a £110 profit for their £10 bet on that scoreline every week.
  • And one of the Ki’s to their success (wahaay!) is Ki Sung Yeung. He has seven goals to his name this year, including last week’s opener against Hull, and if you had been putting £5 on Ki to score first every week, you’d be sat on a profit of £100. Happy days.

With all that in mind, punters could be equally tempted by Swansea to beat Everton 1-0 at odds of 7/1, or Ki to score first at a slightly more adventurous 14/1. But if you never have a dream, you’ll never have a dream come true, so at 66/1 Ki to score the goal in a 1-0 Swansea win might be the bet to boost your bank balance and add to Bobby’s Blues.

  • Will the Toffees come unstuck against Swansea? Get the latest odds here: Desktop | Mobile

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