The Stupid Punt section of the Blog is all about highlighting some of those loopy-looking bets at monster odds. All that’s required to make them click is a little bit of brains, a little bit of balls and a massive dollop of luck. If you never have a dream, how will you ever have a dream come true? And here on the Paddy Power Blog we’re all dreamers.
There’s a place in the Punting Hall of Fame at stake if you can pull it off. You are the people who make the crazy look inspired and while you have the bravery to toe the line between ridiculous and optimistic, we can only stand back and applaud.
Here are three of the most outrageous bets we’ve dug out of Paddy’s Premier League book this week and a few stats to try to back them up.
Scorecast: Harry Kane to score first and Tottenham to beat Aston Villa 4-3
One punter has £1 on at 225/1
- Spurs have beaten Aston Villa 4-3 just once before back in April 1956. That was a Division One game at White Hart Lane and is the only 4-3 win in Tottenham’s 69 victories over Aston Villa.
- In 2015 Harry Kane has scored 14 goals in 12 Premier League games, giving him a staggering conversion rate of 41 per cent. Lionel Messi (who has 18) is the only man in Europe’s top five leagues with more goals in the calendar year.
- Spurs have won five Premier League games 4-3 in their history. They beat Sheffield Wednesday (1994), Everton (2003), Portsmouth (2004), West Ham (2007) and most recently Leicester City just last month when Harry Kane bagged a hat-trick.
Tim Sherwood returns to White Hart Lane on Saturday, but this punter doesn’t envisage him having a happy return. Harry Kane’s form has been unstoppable in 2015 and he took just six minutes to score the opener against Leicester in March as Spurs went on to win 4-3. Could lightning strike twice?
Scorecast: Alexis Sanchez to score first and Arsenal to beat Burnley 5-2
One punter has 50p on at 250/1
- In 100 meetings between these two sides, only twice has it ended 5-2, and on both occasions Burnley came out on top. The Clarets won 5-2 in 1953 and 1960, with both games at Highbury.
- The Gunners have only won one away Premier League game 5-2 in their history. That was on December 17 away to Reading at the Madejski Stadium, with Lukas Podolski opening the scoring and Santi Cazorla bagging a 28 minute hat-trick, before Theo Walcott completed the rout.
- This season Alexis Sanchez has 14 goals in 28 league games and 64 per cent of his attempts have hit the target.
The Gunners are in a red-hot streak of form, and no Premier League side has picked up as many league points in 2015 as Arsene Wenger’s side. They have won 12 of their 14 matches since Christmas Day and one optimistic punter is banking on them putting five past relegation-threatened Burnley. The Clarets have scored just once in their last five, so expecting them to score twice here might incredibly be the dodgiest part of the bet!
Scorecast: Wayne Rooney to score first and Man Utd to beat Man City 5-1
One punter is on at 500/1
- Wayne Rooney has picked up a tidy bit of form for Louis van Gaal’s side, scoring four goals in his last five games. He has had 16 shots in those last five league matches, giving him a conversion rate of 25 per cent.
- There have been 169 Manchester derby games since 1891, and Manchester United have won 5-1 just twice before. Firstly in an FA Cup match in 1891 (when Manchester City were still called Ardwick) and then again in a league game on New Year’s Eve in 1960 at Old Trafford.
- The last side to beat Manchester City 5-1 was Arsenal back in February 2003. The Gunners went 4-0 up within 18 minutes courtesy of goals from Dennis Bergkamp, Robert Pires, Thierry Henry and Sol Campbell, before Patrick Vierra scored the fifth after half-time. Nicolas Anelka bagged a consolation for City with three minutes to go.
The Manchester derby on Sunday is the pick of the weekend’s fixtures and one passionate Red Devils supporter clearly fancies LVG’s men to take advantage of City’s slump. Rooney is the leading scorer in Manchester derby games, so it would be no surprise to see him on the scoresheet, although it has been 55 years since United beat their fierce rivals 5-1. Maybe they’re due one?
- How Louis van Gaal’s derby dominance can help line your wallet on Sunday
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