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Why Daniel Sturridge will help Liverpool make it 21 years of Anfield dominance over Newcastle

by Rob Dore | April 10, 2015

The disturbing reality is that up to 20% of the people reading this blog won’t remember the back-to-back 4-3 games at Anfield between Liverpool and Newcastle in the mid-90s. Except possibly as part of a nostalgic Sky Sports montage.

It has been nineteen years since the first of those games in April of 1996. My Tinder profile might claim otherwise but I was in the full bloom of my teenage years at the time. Ill-advised piercings, patchy facial hair, X-works jeans and a surly attitude which hasn’t altered much. Basically the point is that it was a long time ago.

keegan_mcdermott_96

Newcastle have yet to avenge those heart-breaking losses in front of the Kop. It has now been over 20 years since the Toon Army has winessed victory in a Premier League game at Anfield.

That’s a run of nineteen home league games, with Newcastle having enjoyed a brief sojourn in the Championship, without defeat for the Reds.

  • 16 wins and 3 draws for Liverpool in 19 Premier League games against Newcastle at Anfield.

Liverpool’s recent reality checks against Manchester United and especially against Arsenal may cause some hesitation in backing a home win. They also lost the reverse fixture at the start of November, precipitating a three-game losing streak for the Merseysiders.

Key defender Martin Skrtel is still serving his suspension for his stamp on David De Gea and fellow centre-half Mamadou Sakho is out injured. For all his Djimi Traore-esque footwork the Frenchman is a preferable option to the comedically-erratic Kolo Toure or the spirit-crushed Dejan Lovren. Emre Can does return to the team and Steven Gerrard is still suspended so it’s not all bad for Liverpool fans.

All this means very little in the face of stats which overwhelmingly point towards a Liverpool win and a fifth straight Premier League defeat for John Carver. So we should get a decent flash of Brendan Rodger’s way too white teeth late on Monday.

Stats The Way Uh-Huh, Uh-huh You Like It

Over the course of the nineteen games Liverpool have outscored Newcastle 48-16.

  • Liverpool have won 5 of the last 13 games by 3-0.
    Liverpool to win 3-0 at 17/2
  • They’ve kept 5 clean sheets in the last 8 of those games and nine in total.
    Liverpool to keep a clean sheet at 10/11
  • Liverpool won 11 of the 19 games by two or more goals.
    Liverpool -1 goal at Evens
  • There was over 2.5 goals in 13 of the 19 games.
    Over 2.5 goals at 4/6

Bonus stat

  • Newcastle have had six players sent off in their last nine visits to Anfield
    A Newcastle red card at 5/1.

You’d Be Sturr Crazy No To

And then there’s Daniel Sturridge.

Sturridge hero_750x356

The Liverpool striker has scored in each of his last four appearances against Newcastle, three of those games were for Liverpool and one for Chelsea. He has also scored against the Magpies for three different teams, having hit the net against them whilst on-loan at Bolton for a total of five goals in eight games.

Sturridge is 4/1 to score first but a scorecast bet of Liverpool to win 3-0 and Sturridge to score first pays out at 28/1.

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