The TV Gods in charge of deciding what football games are shown on the box have not been kind to us in recent Sundays. Two weeks in a row we’ve been subjected to Jose Mourinho’s tactics, which although win Chelsea the league, leave many of us with the grim hope of chocking on the last roast potato just so we won’t have to watch anymore. It became so bad that your nan’s batty chatter about her latest bowel movements actually became more enjoyable than watching Chelsea’s midfield set up camp inside their own half.
But now all that has changed. There is a light at the end of the tunnel.
For this weekend is Tottenham v Manchester City. A fixture that has seen 35 goals in its last seven meetings, and one that the stats suggest will provide us with a thriller.
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At an average of five goals a game since August 2011 we’ve got high hopes for this fixture, although Tottenham fans might not be. Six of those seven fixtures have gone City’s way including a couple of 5-1 thumpings, a 6-0 thrashing and a 4-1 win earlier this season at the Etihad Stadium. Sergio Aguero scored all four on that occasion to take his tally to nine goals in seven games against Spurs – so don’t expect the White Hart Lane faithful to give him much of a welcome.
Neither side have been shy of scoring this season, which gives us even more hope that this game will be a blockbuster.
- 76 per cent of Tottenham’s games this season have featured over 2.5 goals, as have 59 per cent of Manchester City’s. The two sides rank first and third respectively for number of games with over 2.5 goals this season
- Similarly the two sides rank first and second in the Premier League for number of games where both teams score. Tottenham have a 65 per cent strike rate and City a 59 per cent strike rate for both teams finding the onion bag in their respective games
- And unsurprisingly the teams rank first and second in the league for the average total goals per game. There are an average of 3.12 goals in every game City have been in this year, and an average of 3.06 in every game Tottenham have been involved in
So where does that leave us for a punt? Both teams to score is an obvious punt, but at 4/7 it is skinnier than the type of frappuccinos the Paddy Power hipsters drink. Similarly over 2.5 goals is an 8/13 punt but that is still hardly a working man’s price.
Instead why not have a look at both teams to score and draw? Neither side are particularly flying, with Tottenham winning just one of the last four, and Man City losing their last four away games on the spin, so a score draw could have potential at 10/3. Alternatively the correct socre market offers us plenty of chances to boost our bank balance. The PP Value team wisely pointed out that putting £10 on Tottenham to win 2-1 every week this season would currently have you in a profit of £243, while a tenner on City to win 3-2 every week would have you up £55 after last week’s thriller with Villa. It is 11/1 for Spurs to win 2-1 and 19/1 for a City 3-2 victory at White Hart Lane.
If you’re greedier than Mike Ashley at a buffet however, and want bigger odds and a more optimistic punt, Nacer Chadli has two goals in two games to take his league tally for the season up to 10. He is also going to be the most profitable player on the pitch on Sunday, returning £110 if you’d put £5 on him to score first every week this season. It’s 80/1 for him to score and Spurs to win 2-1 if you’re feeling lucky?
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