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US Open 2015 betting-in-running: Why you shouldn’t lose faith with the chasing pack going into the final round

by Josh Powell | June 21, 2015

It’s tighter than the Paddy Power bean counters as the final round of the US Open gets ready to tee off on Sunday at Chambers Bay.

Jason Day’s vertigo hasn’t stopped him sitting joint-top of the leader-board (-4) with Dustin Johnson, Brandon Grace & Jordan Spieth after moving day, and his nausea should be helped by at least avoiding Patrick Reed as a playing partner on Sunday.

But with only eight players under par and more hazards at the Seattle track than a health and safety inspector at the Chuckle Brothers’ house – there’s a real chance that whoever gets hot with flat stick and can goes low on Sunday will come out on top.

Our day three preview said to stick with the leaders after the cut and the last 15 years of final-day US Open trends shows that if you’re more than four shots behind you’re most likely to be playing for the places.

US-Open-Final-Round

  • Get in the swing with the latest in-running US Open odds here: Desktop | Mobile

While leading the tournament going into the final 18 holes has been a big advantage – we’re in different territory this year with four joint-leaders teeing it up on Sunday.

Yes, 53 per cent of leaders in the last 15 years have won the tournament, but that drops to just 30 per cent in the last decade. A combination of some stunning final rounds and a few bottle jobs suggests that if the men at the top have sweaty palms, a guy just off the pace is still in with a decent shout.

US-Open-Rory-McIlroy

  • Drive over to the latest in-running US Open odds here: Desktop | Mobile

In the past decade four players have come from three or four shots back at the start of the final round and won. So there’s no need to throw the dockets away on Louis Oosthuizen, Cameron Smith, Shane Lowry or JB Holmes just yet – who are all just three shots back (-1) from the leaders.

With Day clearly uncomfortable despite his heroics yesterday, DJ and B Grace having yet to win a Major and Jordan Spieth’s march to back-to-back Majors hitting a speed bump – this ain’t over by a long way.

 

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