Racing depends on good weather. Spectators won’t really fancy going if they see the rain bouncing down outside, while as a trainer sometimes it’s out of your hands. You saw it with John Gosden and Golden Horn in the King George Stakes last week. You can have the horse ready, you can have everything right with him, but if the ground is against you sometimes it’s not worth the chance. You never want to get a horse beat by the conditions.
Punters have to keep an eye on the forecast as well, and see which horses like a bit of cut in the ground. I’ve picked out three from Galway and Goodwood this week who should all relish the conditions and could make the frame.
Topaz Mile – Galway, Tuesday, 6.50pm
Brendan Bracken has a super chance in this race for Ger Lyons (below, right), a trainer who is very strongly represented in the race. Brendan Bracken absolutely loves soft ground and is ridden by a very good apprentice jockey in Robbie Downey. He’s carrying top weight but Robbie can take 5lb off his back. He’s a course and distance winner and will relish the conditions. Galway is the kind of track where course form is valuable, so his win in this race two years ago is a promising pointer. You’d do worse than have a few quid on Brendan Bracken this week.
Galway Hurdle – Galway, Thursday, 4.45pm
Willie Mullins’ Diakali (below) has a fantastic chance of winning this race and I’d be delighted if he did. Diakali returned from more than a year off the track to win a Group 3 by 10 lengths to Thousand Stars in July. He’s a former Grade 1 winner who won’t mind the wet conditions and he’s the pick of Willie Mullins’ strong hand.
Stewards Cup – Goodwood, Saturday, 3.45pm
The Stewards Cup is a difficult race to pick a winner from, but Tropics is a nice each-way bet. He ran really well to finish second in the Group 1 July Cup at Newmarket – beaten just a nose by Muhaarar. It’s a tricky little race, and can get awkward if they split into two groups and you end up in the wrong one, however after finishing second in a Group 1 his form is strong. He’s another horse who likes a bit of cut in the ground and despite carrying top weight he could be a nice bet to fill one of the places.