Opinions are very much like arses. We all have one, and some of us are happier to get it out in public more often than others. The problem with opinions, and arses, is that from time to time they will be full of crap.
So how do you prevent this problem? Well, although we can’t do anything for your bowel movements apart from recommend a balanced diet and plenty of vitamins, we can help you boost your opinion with some cold hard stats, and in the process help shut up any smug mate in the pub who keeps kicking your opinion in the plums.
The Community Shield is right around the corner, and while the annual curtain raiser for the new season might be quickly forgotten, everyone will have their say on who they fancy to lift the first silverware of the season. Simply go to the punt you think is most likely, and boost your gut instinct with some undeniable facts. Then when someone tries to tell you you’re full of sh**, you can simply hit them with a stat-bomb and march out.
I fancy Chelsea to win at odds of 13/10…
So, you’re backing Jose Mourinho’s side, and the reigning Premier League champs to kick-start the new season as they finished the last. Here are the three stats you need to know to boost your argument:
- Simply put, Jose Mourinho does not lose to Arsene Wenger. In 13 meetings between the two managerial Goliaths, Mourinho has won seven and drawn six. The Special One has never tasted defeat against Arsene Wenger, with a record dating back more than a decade.
- In the last 15 meetings between the two sides, Arsenal have won just twice. That’s a win record of just 13 per cent, and shows just how dominant Chelsea have been over their London rivals, with or without Jose Mourinho.
- The Gunners last found the net against Chelsea in January 2013. Since then they have played five games against the Pensioners without finding the net – a goal drought that has lasted more than eight hours of action.
I fancy Arsenal to win at odds of 19/10…
Ok, you fancy an upset. Although it’s not a huge surprise, Arsenal retained their FA Cup this year and are once again being tipped in many corners to put up a strong title challenge this campaign. These are the three facts you need to know to stop people scoffing at the idea of a Gunners victory:
- This isn’t a glorified friendly for Arsene Wenger and his record shows that. The Frenchman has been in charge of seven Community Shields, winning five, and losing two (one on penalties). Overall Arsenal have picked up 13 Community Shield’s to Chelsea’s four, and have a win rate of 65 per cent, compared to Chelsea’s 40 per cent.
- Chelsea’s record in the Community Shield in recent years isn’t looking too pretty. Since 2006 they’ve been in five Community Shields, losing four of them and winning the other only via penalties after a 2-2 draw with Manchester United.
- Arsenal have had a better preparation. After returning from Asia in mid-July to play the Emirates Cup at their home ground, Arsenal have had a full week of rest before the Community Shield. Chelsea on the other hand played Barcelona at 1.00AM (UK time) on Wednesday morning in Washington, meaning they’re unlikely to be back in London until late Wednesday at the earliest. Throw in a bit of jet-lag and Chelsea may well be slightly off the pace.
- Is it Gunner be more silverware fro Arsenal? Get the latest Community Shield odds here: Desktop | Mobile
I fancy the draw at odds of 12/5…
You may have splinters digging into your behind from sitting on the fence, but if you have a hunch that the game could go to penalties, it’d handy to have some stats to back it up:
- Three of the last seven Premier League games between Arsenal and Chelsea have finished 0-0 giving the draw a 43 per cent strike rate in this fixture since April 2012.
- Similarly three of the last eight (38 per cent) Community Shields have finished level, with Chelsea being involved in two of them.
- In games against the top four last season, Chelsea drew four of their six matches (66 per cent) while Arsenal drew three of their six (50 per cent). Matches between the big sides tended to be tight, and this curtain-raiser could be no different.
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