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WWE Summerslam 2015 Trends: The stats say it’s worth backing Brock Lesnar against The Undertaker on Sunday night

Lesnar has the superior Summerslam record and the advantage in the head-to-head, so can the Beast beat The Undertaker despite being the underdog?

by Josh Powell | August 20, 2015

The Phenom v The Beast. The Deadman v The One in 22-1. It’s finally here, Undertaker v Brock Lesnar.

It’s the Summerslam bout that has been building since Battleground. Brock Lesnar was about to pin Seth Rollins and become new World Heavyweight Champion, only for Taker to return and attack Lesnar causing the match to end in a no contest. Undertaker is out for revenge after Lesnar ended Taker’s WrestleMania streak – a winning run that had spanned two decades.

The waiting is almost over, but still wrestling fans aren’t sure who is going to come out on top on Sunday night. Even the Paddy Power traders are torn, pricing it up as 11/8 for Lesnar, and 8/1 for an Undertaker win. With so much on the line, we’ve decided to take a look back at some key bits of form to potentially help guide our punting.

Undertaker at Summerslam

Undertaker has wrestled at 15 different Summerslam events – originally when he defeated Kamala at Wembley Stadium in 1992, and most recently when he beat Edge at Summerslam 2008 in a brutal Hell In A Cell (above). In that time his record has been mixed, winning nine bouts and losing five, with his match with Kane at Summerslam 2000 ending in a no contest after never officially getting underway.

It’s hardly a convincing record, particularly when you look at Taker in just Summerslam single matches, when his record goes down to won seven and lost five. Even more worrying for fans of the Phenom is his record in purely single matches (no gimmicks) at the PPV – where he has just a 50 per cent strike rate, winning four and losing four. His wins aren’t too inspiring either, with victories over opponents such as Test, A-Train and fake Undertaker.

Brock Lesnar at Summerslam

Brock Lesnar’s record at Summerlsam is far more convincing. While he isn’t as experience as the Deadman, with just five Summerslam bouts, his record of four wins and one loss looks a lot more bombproof. Particularly when you look at the calibre of his opponents.

In Lesnar’s Summerslam debut he beat The Rock to win the Undisputed World Heavyweight Title in New York (above). 12 months later at Summerslam 2003 came Lesnar’s only defeat at this PPV – to Kurt Angle in another World Heavyweight Title bout. After a nine year break, Lesnar has come back and won three Summerslam matches on the spin, in two No DQ matches and a World Heavyweight Title match. The Beast has beaten Triple H, CM Punk and checked John Cena into Suplex City 12 months ago as his dominant streak continues.

Undertaker v Brock Lesnar Head-2-Head

WWE-Summerslam-Brock-Record-Taker

While the most memorable match between these two wrestling icons, will be the WrestleMania XXX match where Lesnar ended the streak, there have been a total of seven matches on TV or PPV where they have gone head-to-head.

Lesnar has a marginal advantage with four wins to Undertaker’s two (plus a no contest) but it’s more interesting to look at singles matches between the two. Undertaker has never beaten Brock one-on-one, losing three with one ending in a no contest.

There was of course the WrestleMania bout in 2014, but before that Brock had two other victories. In 2003 at No Mercy Lesnar beat Taker in a Biker’s Chain match for the World Heavyweight Title and at the same event in 2002, Brock beat the Phenom in a Hell In A Cell. The only other match between the two guys one-on-one on TV ended in a no contest at Unforgiven as the match developed into an all-out brawl and the referee was knocked out. The PPV ended with Taker putting Lesnar through the Unforgiven Titantron.

Lesnar hasn’t been pinned in a WWE ring for more than two years, and it looks like it will take something extraordinary for Taker to get the job done cleanly in New York on Sunday night.

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