UFC 191 has arrived and Mighty Mouse Johnson returns to the octagon to face John Dodson for the second time. In the first fight a lot of people would have said that Dodson should have got the decision first time round, but a second chance could be his chance to take home the belt.
The rest of what is a fantastically stacked card has Andrei Arlovski facing off against Frank Mir about a decade too late. Rumble Johnson takes on Jimi Manuwa in the fight of the yoga mats, Paige VanZant takes on Alex Chambers in the women’s strawweight division and Paul Felder faces Ross Pearson six weeks after his loss to Edson Barboza.
Demetrious Johnson v John Dodson
It’s about time. Why the hell did it take so long to set this fight up again? This is going to be violently brilliant. The 125lbs division is the most technical division in all the UFC. They don’t have the knockout power of the heavyweights, but they make up for it with submissions and there’s no one better than Mighty Mouse.
1/6 odds suggest this fight is going to a walk in the park for the champion, but that’s not going to be case. Dodson could have and maybe should have won the first fight. He’s the best striker in the division and has a knockout victory over Bantamweight champion T.J. Dillashaw.
— UFC (@ufc) September 4, 2015
Mighty Mouse is the Pound for Pound best in the UFC. He’s better than Aldo. He’s technically so good. And his cardio is scary. This fight will most likely end in two ways. A submission or a decision for Johnson. While Dodson is probably the only person that even comes close to Johnson, but Mighty Mouse does well in rematches (a round 1 knockout of Joseph Benavidez after a five round split decision) and this time round is no different. DJ to win by submission is 11/2 is much better value then a 4/6 win on points.
Andrei Arlovski v Frank Mir
What a fight this is going to be. Everyone wanted this fight 10 years ago as a heavyweight unification bout, but it never came to fruition. This is going to be a war of a fight. Frank Mir’s standup game has gotten so much better (as you can see from this knockout of Todd Duffee). After four losses on the trot it looked like the former two time heavyweight champion was finished, but two first round KO’s against Antônio Silva and Todd Duffee have brought him back into contention. A win tonight and he will be looking for another title shot.
His ground game is among the best in the division and his standup is going to be a big problem for Arlovski. A submission at 4/1 looks like a great bet for the big American or if you fancy Mir to continue his impressive run of knockouts a 5/2 shout could be for you.
Andrei Arlovski is back. He may be a bit older then he was when he was the champion, but that incredible punching power is still there and now he seems to be a bit cleverer. He doesn’t jump in stupidly anymore. He’s a more rounded fighter and in his last two fights he’s taken home performance bonuses. The Travis Browne fight was incredible. If Arlovski keeps the fight standing up and can land the same big right hooks this could be a very quick fight.
An Arlovski round one win is at 7/4 and a knockout win is at evens. Both guys are on a roll, but unless Mir takes Arlovski down then the better striking of Arlovski should see him through to win the fight.
Anthony Johnson v Jimi Manuwa
Much as I’d like to see him lose Rumble is the best option here. After losing his title fight against Daniel Cormier Rumble needs a big, big performance against Brit Jimi Manuwa. There’s not many people in the UFC or the world for that matter who can punch the way that Rumble can. Even in the fight against DC he knocked DC around the cage until he was taken to the floor. Manuwa doesn’t have the ground game that’s needed to submit Rumble the way he was last time out.
— UFC (@ufc) September 4, 2015
Manuwa is a striker and a very good one at that, but if he goes toe to toe with Rumble standing up he won’t last the first five minutes. The Alexander Gustafsson fight shows how good Rumble is when he wants to be. A Rumble knockout is at 4/11 which is a little short, but a 5/6 first round win seems like the better option. If you are very confident, like ridiculously confident that Manuwa will win at 5/1 is your best bet.
Paul Felder v Ross Pearson
Both fighters are coming in off the back of losses, but Felder is the better fighter. A first career loss to Edson Barboza six weeks ago for Felder won’t sit well which may be part of the reason that he’s fighting again so soon.
Felder is too fast, too big and too unpredictable for Ross Pearson to have a great chance of winning. A Felder win with a knockout is at evens which are good odds for a man who has a couple knockout reel finishes. Or a round one win at 15/8 is probably the best bet for the fight.