There are going to be 30 London derby games in the Premier League this season, which means we’re likely to get one almost every other week. However, Tottenham’s clash with West Ham in Sunday’s sole game may well be the most exciting battle in the capital this year, and we’ve got the stats to prove it.
In recent seasons this fixture has thrown up a truckload of goals – 22 in the last seven matches – and there have only ever been six 0-0 draws in 143 clashes between Spurs and the Hammers. Throw in the fact that you have two of the five most attacking teams in the league this season going head-to-head, and you’ve got all the ingredients for a ridiculously tasty goal pie. Yeah, that’s a thing now.
Tottenham come into the match on an 11-game unbeaten streak in the league, in which they’ve only failed to score twice – against Liverpool and Everton. That streak includes a 4-1 demolition of Manchester City and more than admiral draws against Jurgen Klopp’s Reds and versus Arsenal in the North London derby. Spurs have scored 20 league goals this year, with only four other top flights sides managing to find the onion bag on more occasions.
One of those teams happen to be West Ham – with Slaven Bilic’s men bagging 23 goals in 12 games. While they sit behind Spurs on goal difference, the Hammers can boast of wins at home to Chelsea and away to Liverpool, Arsenal and Manchester City this season so will hardly arrive at White Hart Lane feeling like underdogs. Eight of West Ham’s games have featured over 2.5 goals while almost half of Tottenham’s games have featured over 3.5 goals.
Unsurprisingly, considering the truck-load of stats that we’ve just driven through your mind, it’s a super skinny that there’ll be over 2.5 goals in the game this weekend. With both sides finding the onion bag for fun though, over 3.5 goals is worth a nibble at a price of . Alternatively you can back Spurs to win and over 3.5 goals at – a bet that would have clicked in this fixture three years ago when they won 3-1. Or West Ham to win and over 2.5 goals is a massive punt – a bet that’s clicked this season against Liverpool (0-3), Man City (1-2) and Chelsea (2-1).
But with both teams coming into the game in strong form, it’s tricky to pick a winner. So we’re happy to pull splinters out of our arse for the next week and sit on the fence, backing both teams to score and the match to end in a draw at . The 2-2 result makes plenty of appeal at – particularly after this fixture ended that way in February – and is well worth a punt to round off the weekend.