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Andy Gray: Two 1st leg home wins in the Capital One Cup could land this 65/1 double

by Andy Gray | January 5, 2016

Stoke v Liverpool – Tuesday 8pm

This game is so tight I wouldn’t want to have a gun put to my head to have to pick one. Looking at the last five league games that these two sides have played, they have exactly the same record. Both won two, both lost two and both drawn one.

When a game is this tight and the form is so similar I think you should favour the home team. If I’m advising anyone on tonight’s game, not over the two legs, The form that Stoke have been in, taking away the defeat to West Brom where they had a man sent off and probably wouldn’t have lost that game if they hadn’t, they’ve had two great wins over Manchester United and Everton. They’re in good form, they’ve got good heart so I would go with a home win.

I don’t see a lot of goals but I do think Stoke will just shade it by the odd goal in three.

  • Andy’s bet: Stoke to win 2-1 at

Everton v Manchester City – Wednesday 8pm

The thing about Everton is I never know what I’m going to get from them. At the moment they’re flattering to deceive. They’re drawing far too many games, they’re in the bottom half of the league and they’ve only won three league games in their last thirteen. So what we’re seeing is a team that’s hard to beat but not winning enough football matches.

This is a big game for Everton. They won’t want to be going to the Etihad Stadium chasing Manchester City. This could very much be a European type of game for Everton. By that I mean they can’t allow City to be ahead of the second leg. I think Everton have to take a lead to the Etihad if they want to win this.

The last five or ten minutes of the Watford game was an amazing spell of play for Manchester City. Somehow they dragged themselves through that game and managed to take all three points but if Everton get on the front foot early then Romelu Lukaku can trouble Mangala, who struggled against Ighalo.

City aren’t back to their best and Lukaku could be the difference maker.

  • Andy’s bet: Lukaku to score and Everton to win at

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