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Manchester City v Leicester: Sergio Aguero and Jamie Vardy go head-to-head, and the value is with this 13/2 shot

It's a clash of title challengers, and Golden Boot rivals when Manchester City take on Leicester at the Etihad Stadium - and the value punt is the Foxes man to find the net first

by Josh Powell | February 3, 2016

The early kick-off on Saturday between Manchester City and Leicester probably wouldn’t have been touted as a potential title decider six months ago. Neither did we think we’d see the two joint-favourites vying for the Golden Boot taking to the field. But football, a lot like Kim Kardashian’s rise to fame, is a mysterious and explainable beast.

So when Jamie Vardy and Sergio Aguero take to the field at the Etihad Stadium, two of the top flight’s hottest strikers will be attempting to add to their tally for the season, in what could be a defining result in the race for the title.

The question for punters is, which one should you side with when having a bet?


Sergio Aguero’s well taken winner against Sunderland on Tuesday night took his recent record to eight goals in eight games in all competitions in 2016, and the main man at Manchester City has a tally of 13 for the season. His quality in front of goal should only be a surprise if you’ve spent the last five years on the moon however, as Aguero has already posted top flight tallys of 23 and 26 since arriving at the Etihad Stadium.

Unsurprisingly therefore, Aguero is a shot to retain the Golden Boot, despite being five goals behind Leicester’s fox in the box Jamie Vardy.

Sergio Aguero scores v Norwich

Vardy has exploded onto the scene as an integral part of a Leicester team threaten to shock the footballing world by winning the Premier League title. As the infographic above shows Vardy has been more accurate, more deadly, and more integral to his side’s success than Sergio Aguero this season, and a tally of 18 goals puts him in the driving seat for the Golden Boot. The traders however, like most of the footballing world, are waiting for the day the Leicester bubble bursts and Vardy is an  shot to win the Golden Boot despite the numerical advantage.


This weekend the lads in the PP trading floor are heavily in favour of Aguero to score first rather than Vardy, presumably because of Manchester City’s perceived superiority and home advantage. Aguero is to break the deadlock and to find the net at anytime, compared to Vardy who is a shot to score first and to find the onion bag at anytime. But the Foxes continue to surprise, and we’re happy to side with Vardy at a better price.

Despite a goal drought that lasted seven games, and the best part of a month between mid-December and mid-January, Jamie Vardy made sure he was still a force to be threatened by when he bagged a brace at home to Liverpool on Tuesday. That means Vardy now has goals against Liverpool (2), Arsenal (2), Manchester Utd and Chelsea – and has scored the opener against all of them this campaign. He’s not afraid of the big occasion.

Throw into the mix that 39 per cent of Vardy’s goals have come on the road, the Foxes have failed to score in just one of their 12 away games, plus Manchester City are yet to beat a top six side this year (and have conceded 10 goals in six games against them). There’s no doubting Aguero’s class, but at Vardy looks like the value punt – particularly if you’re backing each-way.

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