Whether you love or hate Valentine’s Day, the over-priced cards and the outpouring of puke-inducing soppiness on social media, it’s still happening. Luckily however, the footballing fixture Gods have ensured the romance won’t get in the way of a belting Super Sunday as title-chasing Tottenham Hotspur travel to Manchester City who themselves, are still dreaming of landing an unprecedented quadruple.
It doesn’t matter if you’re a football fan who is shacked up, or a football fan who has managed to complete Tinder in the majority of UK and Irish counties, all football fans love goals. And that’s exactly what we’re expected to get on Sunday afternoon at the Etihad Stadium.
In the last nine matches between Manchester City and Tottenham, there have been a ridiculous 41 goals – an average of 4.6 per game. In comparison the average number of goals in a Premier League game this season is 2.6, suggesting Sunday’s game should be a real treat for the neutral. In eight of those nine matches there have been over 2.5 goals – with the exception of Tottenham’s 1-0 defeat at home to City in May 2015. That makes the over 2.5 goals on Sunday look like a great bet at .
This season neither team has let up in front of goal. Man City are the deadliest side in the league with 47 goals in 25 games – including an average of 2.6 scored at home every game. Tottenham aren’t far away with 45 goals themselves, and Leicester are the only side to score more goals per game on the road than Spurs. It’s a delicious Valentine’s Day feed, and the ingredients are lovely goals.
Manchester City have found the net in 92 per cent of their home games, while Mauricio Pochettino’s men have the same record away from White Hart Lane. Both teams to score is skinnier than a supermodel at , but it looks like there’s a strong chance of both keepers picking the ball out of their nets at the Etihad.
As for a winner, there’s value in Tottenham continuing their charge for the title and Spurs look overpriced at . Manchester City have already lost 3-1 at home to Leicester, 4-1 at home to Liverpool, as well as that 4-1 defeat away to Tottenham this season, suggesting they’re certainly not as watertight at the back as Manuel Pellegrini would have you believe.
Therefore there might be value in taking some of the that Tottenham will win and there’ll be over 2.5 goals in the match – a bet that would have clicked in 69 per cent of Tottenham’s wins this season. Or if you’re flirting with a slightly better payout on Valentine’s Day, the on Tottenham to win and over 3.5 goals in the match might just catch your eye.
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